As its restructuring enters a second year,
USA Today is bracing for a 35% drop in newsstand sales when it
doubles the single-copy price to $2 on Sept. 30, according to internal company documents.
What's more, already-low vending machine sales could tank entirely, the documents say, leading the paper to remove most if not all the iconic TV-shaped honor boxes installed on sidewalks with the paper's launch 31 years ago.
I received the documents and related information from
Gannett Blog readers over the past week.
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| 1982's iconic rack |
Any more circulation losses would follow steep declines since 2008 that cost Gannett's marquee brand 600,000 in daily sales -- and with that, its status as the nation's top-selling paper. Further losses also could force
USAT to cut advertising rates to reflect a smaller circulation footprint. To be sure, some of the lost ad revenue would be recovered when the cover price rises to $2 from $1 in two weeks. Plus, a parallel initiative called the Butterfly Project may help claw back circulation.
USAT's circulation sank 8% to 1.7 million during
the most recent reporting period, ended March 31. At the same time, its two national competitors advanced.
The Wall Street Journal jumped 12% to 2.4 million, and
The New York Times soared 18% to 1.9 million. Those figures include digital subscriptions;
USAT doesn't charge for online access.
The big price hike and other changes come as the paper undergoes a major restructuring that began after
Larry Kramer was
named publisher in spring 2012. Kramer, founder of the
MarketWatch financial news site, is trying to turn the paper around as its bread-and-butter audience, business travelers, shuns print for tablets and smartphones. Kramer's work included overseeing an extensive redesign, begun well before he arrived, of the
print edition and
the website a year ago this week.
USAT's new pricing is part of a broader strategy at Gannett's other 81 U.S. dailies favoring revenue over volume. Last year, after raising single-copy prices weekdays and Sundays, then boosting subscription rates, Gannett said circulation revenue companywide rose $53 million, or 5% -- the first such annual increase since 2006.
But daily volume fell 8% to an average three million copies, while Sunday declined 3% to five million.
Affluent readers walk
Much of
USAT's circulation losses over the past five years came after some of its
biggest buyers -- hotels -- stopped providing copies to guests, many of whom were leaving papers untouched outside their hotel room doors. The paper has swung back with
a digital news portal sold to 3,000 Hilton hotels, and is talking to other hotel owners about a similar deal.
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| Kramer |
Its unclear how much of
USAT's current 1.7 million in circulation will be affected by the price hike, so I can't provide any estimates of aggregate volume losses. Although the increase will hit subscribers, it doesn't apply to hotels, restaurants, airlines and other bulk buyers, according to the documents. Those accounts have historically made up a big part of circulation, and gave the paper a nearly ubiquitous presence among affluent business travelers.
Last year, 76% of
USAT's net paid circulation was from single-copy sales at newsstands, vending machines or provided to hotel guests. The rest was home and office delivery, mail, educational and other sales, according to Gannett's
annual report to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
Any circulation and ad losses from the new single-copy price may be mitigated by another Gannett print paper initiative, the Butterfly Project, started more than a year ago. The company plans a pilot test starting early next month, according to readers.
About Butterfly
In the test,
USAT will produce a multi-page section of news plus advertising that would be inserted in around a half dozen of the company's U.S. community newspapers, according to several of my readers. Subjects likely would include
USAT staples: world, national, business, sports and entertainment. Corporate hasn't officially announced the project, although CEO
Gracia Martore dropped hints during the quarterly earnings conference call with analysts in late July.
If the Butterfly test succeeds, the special section -- perhaps numbering as many as six pages -- would then be included with about three dozen of Gannett's biggest community papers seven days a week. Those dailies are published from coast to coast, including New York, Florida, Arizona and California.
Many questions remain unanswered, including especially whether
USAT will try to count the section as paid circulation when it submits figures to the industry's
Alliance for Audited Media, formerly known as the Audit Bureau of Circulations.
Evan Ray, president of Gannett's printing and distribution subsidiary
Gannett Publishing Services, is a member of
AAM's 38-seat board of directors.
The combined circulation of Gannett's top three dozen dailies is about 2.3 million on weekdays. (I'm not including the
Detroit Free Press, which delivers to homes only three days a week, and is sold at retail in limited locations.) On Sunday, total circulation of those 36 papers is about 3.5 million. (
Spreadsheet shows circulation by title with losses 2005-2012.)
Those include Gannett's biggest:
The Arizona Republic in Phoenix, which sells around 300,000 weekdays, and 540,000 Sundays. Also,
The Indianapolis Star, 156,000 weekdays and 290,000 Sundays. Other markets are Louisville, Ky.; Nashville; Des Moines; Rochester, N.Y., plus smaller ones in four Florida cities.
USAT didn't respond to my e-mailed request for comment. Last week, spokeswoman
Heidi Zimmerman confirmed the cover price hike
after it was reported here.
First weekend editions
A seven-day publication would for the first time give
USAT a dedicated print presence on weekends, making it more competitive for advertising with the
NYT, which publishes seven days, and the
WSJ, which publishes every day but Sunday.
Since it was founded in September 1982,
USAT has only published weekdays, largely following the work lives of its core on-the-road business readers.
To be sure, the community dailies have been using
USAT stories and artwork virtually since the paper's launch. In more recent years, that came in a single national news page formatted in
USAT's typeface and published by most if not all the dailies in lieu of what had been prepared at the community level. Butterfly would extend that far more.
The new section would be produced by
USAT editors at the paper's main office at McLean, Va., in suburban Washington.
Other questions
- Would USAT's national edition also lose circulation in cities where the special section is included in local newspapers? That would surely be part of the calculus at Corporate's headquarters when evaluating the Butterfly Project tests.
- Will advertising in the USAT section be limited to national, or will it also include local advertisers?
- How would the section be inserted in papers that don't print in conventional broadsheet formats, including in Cincinnati; Shreveport, La., Lafayette, Ind., and Burlington, Vt.?
The Butterfly project
has been in the works at least since summer 2012. It's unclear how long the pilot test will last before a final decision is made on whether to extend it. Martore could give a progress report to Wall Street in mid-October when Corporate releases third-quarter financial results.
Community newspaper publishers were briefed on the project in April. And editors of newspapers that ultimately could carry the section
were given details last month.
USAT last raised its cover price to $1 from 75 cents in fall 2008, just as the Great Recession was deepening.