Saturday, July 31, 2010

For USAT, more secrecy around financial health; Corporate withholds key data from new document

[Table shows revenue data now omitted from two SEC filings]

In a significant departure, Gannett has begun disclosing fewer details about USA Today's financial health, just as investors and employees are looking for more information amid growing questions about the newspaper's future, according to a new review of public documents.

For the second time in two years -- but likely far longer -- Corporate did not report USAT's advertising revenue trend in Gannett's second-quarter report, filed late yesterday afternoon with federal regulators. Instead, it just disclosed the number of paid advertising pages, a figure it had already reported in a statement released on July 16.

Page counts offer only limited information about advertising sales, however, because they don't reveal anything about revenue. That information is better reflected in ad revenue percentage changes -- the figure Corporate omitted in yesterday's SEC filing, called a form 10-Q. In this year's first quarter, for example, the paper's ad revenue dived 11% from last year.

An unusual omission
It's doubtful the omission was merely an oversight; SEC filings are legal documents written with great care, and seen by many expert eyes before they're made public. More likely, Corporate withheld the information out of new competitive concerns amid a growing rivalry with The Wall Street Journal and The New York Times. It may also have kept the revenue figures confidential to relieve public pressure on management, as Publisher Dave Hunke (above) plans a reorganization that could be announced to staff any week now.

The omission of USAT's ad revenue changes is unusual. Corporate started reporting the figures in the first quarter of 2002, I found today in a review of 10-Q filings with the SEC. I've tracked the figures every quarter over the past two years except for the fourth quarter of 2009, the only other time they weren't disclosed. (See table, above.)

It's likely revenue fell again in the second quarter; the number of paid advertising pages fell 4% from a year before, after all. Indeed, revenue appears to have fallen every quarter from the prior year for two years, SEC documents show. Coupled with a sharp, 14% decline in circulation, it's likely the ad revenue tumble spurred Hunke's June 17 disclosure of a pending reorganization.

Yesterday's 10-Q reported only the following about USAT's second-quarter results: "Domestically, national advertising revenues decreased 2% for the quarter and 3% year-to-date due to lower results at USA Today, partially offset by a double-digit increase in national advertising at U.S. Community Publishing. Advertising demand at USA Today continues to be impacted by softness in the travel-related categories. The automotive, retail and packaged goods categories improved during the quarter at USA Today while the entertainment, travel, telecommunications and pharmaceutical categories lagged last year. Paid advertising pages at USA Today totaled 580 compared with 602 in last year’s second quarter."

Now, here's the report from the first-quarter 10-Q; I've highlighted in boldface the revenue details missing from yesterday's filing:

"National advertising revenues declined 3% for the quarter. National advertising revenues increased 8% in the U.S. Community Publishing group and were up 2% in the UK in local currency for the quarter. Ad revenue at USA Today, including usatoday.com, was down 11% for the quarter. Advertising demand at USA TODAY continues to be impacted by the soft travel and lodging markets. Several categories at USA TODAY improved during the quarter including automotive, technology and retail. These revenue gains, however, were more than offset by weakness in the travel, entertainment, financial, telecommunications and pharmaceutical categories."

A secrecy precedent
It's important to note that public companies like Gannett enjoy some leeway in what they report to investors via the SEC. While basic financial data -- revenue, costs, earnings, etc. -- are mandatory, other details are optional, or may be kept secret, with the SEC's permission.

USA Today -- Gannett's marquee title, and the No. 1 print paper in the nation -- is the only individual title for which Gannett breaks out results. While other publishers, including the New York Times Co., also offer such detail on their major papers, I'm not aware of any SEC rules requiring that they do so.

There's precedent for withholding information, too. In February, Gannett revealed that the SEC had agreed to its request that it keep confidential certain targets for digital revenue. The company cited competitive reasons.

In another instance, Corporate stopped publishing monthly statistical reports in late 2008, a step that angered some Wall Street analysts. The reports, made available for many years prior, provided general figures on revenue trends for the company as a whole, giving analysts a snapshot of results between quarterly reports.

It's conceivable that Corporate will resume reports of USAT's revenue changes in future SEC filings. I'm not counting on that, however, which means investors and employees will have even less information to make smart choices about their portfolios and careers.

Please post your replies in the comments section, below. To e-mail confidentially, write jimhopkins[at]gmail[dot-com]; see Tipsters Anonymous Policy in the rail, upper right.

19 comments:

  1. I just cannot believe how corporate has driven USA Today into the dirt. This was once an industry leader and a great read. Today it is so tired and clearly has lost its spark. The results of this we see in circulation and advertising declines. I once thought David Hunke would bring the paper back, but his reorganization plan is languishing and the delays in unveiling it are hurting morale. It's a shame and so unnecessary.

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  2. No wonder there's such hate between the Crystal Palace hallways of USA and GCI. GCI destroyed the love a long, long time ago.

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  3. Honestly, my guess is that posters on this blog have been used to break down this data, and in doing so, are able to give up very important information to Gannett's competitors. Gannett can keep this information secret citing the ability to break down average ad rates, and therefore not share a very critical piece of competitive information.

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  4. As skeptical I am of this blog a times, this is a clear example of how Gannett Corporate has decided to withhold information based on how you have broken down the data. Could anyone really argue the fact that Jim's effort has kept certain info from the investment community?

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  5. We all know it's coming at USA TODAY, we just don't know how bad it's going to be.

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  6. Gee, 3:57, do you really think corporate changes its figures to make Jim's job more difficult? And why blame Jim for keeping info from the investment community, when it is corporate that is making the decisions. Who knows, but maybe the shop that put together these figures screwed up and forgot to include something. They obviously cherry-picked the best figures for their report, so put the bad figures aside. I believe that things at USA Today are very, very bad, and corporate hasn't told investors how bad things really are.

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  7. Martore may have withheld this data to keep it confidential, but I 100% do not believe this was aimed solely at me or this blog.

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  8. 1. Jim is scaring the GMC members with this fact finding as it relates to USAT. Gracia has stated to Hunke to stop disclosing so much information about USAT.

    2. Revenues for Digital are booked based on what the corporate goals are for each division. For example, if corporate says that newspaper revenues need to be 30% Digital, then if someone books a $1,000 print & digital deal, regardless of the size of the digital portion, Evan Ray will "allocate" $300 of that print sale to digital. Even if there was less than $10 worth of digital sold.

    3. There is big push in Dickey's management team to show that USCP's Digital efforts are growing faster than Mclatchy and others.

    4. Not surprising, but the rumors of Hunke's "retirement" are being kicked up again, and ever since last weeks board meeting, it seems like his retirement might be coming sooner than expected.

    5. Still no Chief Digital Officer yet, and well, at least my boss has not interviewed anyone, so it would seem like we are not any closer. Everyone who has come in to meet with Craig and Gracia appeared to be turned off by the dynamic duo. It seems like the Josh Resnik rumor wasn't actually a rumor after all. Heard from several people that Josh interviewed with the recruiters for the CDO position. Apparently, after the leak, Gracia took an opinion poll and decided not to move forward with Josh based on the negative feedback that came I from the blog and others.

    6. Dan Ehrman has been interviewing for the CFO role, but looks like he will not get it again and that he will be announcing his retirement shortly.

    7. They (Craig and Gracia) will wait until they have a CDO announced before they announce Hunke's departure.

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  9. Prediction:Hunke will be CEO within two years. Craig will be out and the entire power structure will change, again. Hunke is risk-taking innovator with a track record. Current regime is more worried about WS perception and fast answers to bottomline.
    Hunke understands the need for relationships ( horizontal and vertical) in the organization. He will not stoop to internal politics to get his way (which may sink him for he has a chance to move up).
    Haven't met anyone that doubts Hunke's sincerity or experience under pressure.

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  10. Yes, the long knives are after Hunke, who has been unable to come up with a plan to save USA Today that meets everyone's acceptance. He's 57 so eligible for early retirement under the executive pension plan.

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  12. Ah, the executive pension plan. Was that frozen, too? I doubt it. GCI throws pennies into the plans of the peons near retirement, and shifts millions to the plans of the top few execs.

    Oh well.

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  13. Hunke will oversee the bloodletting that's planned for USA Today and let his tools from marketing and the business side set the tone for the paper's direction. When his actions have destroyed what's left of a faltering print franchise, he'll be gone. At least Gracia will appreciate the cost-savings from a sharply reduced staff.

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  14. Ehrman would have been a good pick for CFO, but he is 64 and so too close to retirement for the job.

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  15. Why do we have these tired old people in their fifties trying to figure this out, anyway?

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  16. I'm 53. Age doesn't always correlate to talent.

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  17. When you have the ability to break down average rate per page over a period, and lay that next to paid circulation, you uncover a great weakness is USAT's ability to price its product. Jim could expand his small chart to include paid circulation during the same quarters, and then show the cost per M to the advertiser.

    There is little doubt that this blog played a role in having that information excluded from the report.

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  18. Hi, 9:21 here: You're right, Jim, and as a somewhat talented 50-year-old myself, I'd go ever further and say that age almost never correlates with talent. But age does have a lot to do with the ability to really grasp what the future holds in this brave new world of technology. I don't think these guys have a clue.

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  19. Not after this recession. If you are over 50 in this business, your days are done. Look around you and see the thinning out of the greyhairs. Higher wages and higher medical costs are part of it. The NYT had a good piece on this yesterday, noting business is sitting on the savings it made from the furloughs and salary cutbacks. Most of that came from the pockets of very productive veterans. As for talented, look at the product after they have been weeded out.

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Jim says: "Proceed with caution; this is a free-for-all comment zone. I try to correct or clarify incorrect information. But I can't catch everything. Please keep your posts focused on Gannett and media-related subjects. Note that I occasionally review comments in advance, to reject inappropriate ones. And I ignore hostile posters, and recommend you do, too."

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